Political Change in theMiddle East:AnAttempt toAnalyze the Arab Spring
Abstract
This article deals with the Arab Spring as a process of deep political change in the Arab
world, previously the only major world area where authoritarianism persisted unchal-
lenged for decades. While in various countries of the Arab world mass protests in 2011
forced rulers to resign, other authoritarian regimes have – despite political and economic
pressure – so far been able to remain in power, or have even been only insignificantly af
fected. This paper applies central social science approaches in order to analyze recent
velopments in the region – a majortask of theoretically oriented social sciences in the com
ing years. In addition to providing an overview of the existing literature on the Arab
Spring, the article examines the empirical results of political diversification in the Arab
world. A two-by-two matrix of political rule that differentiates according to the type of
rule and the degree of stability is presented and discussed. Although the analysis draws
heavily on rent theory, it also applies findings from transition theory and revolution theory
to illuminate the current political dynamics in the Middle East
Keywords:Arab Spring, Middle East,rent theory,revolution theory, transition theory
This article deals with the Arab Spring as a process of deep political change in the Arab
world, previously the only major world area where authoritarianism persisted unchal-
lenged for decades. While in various countries of the Arab world mass protests in 2011
forced rulers to resign, other authoritarian regimes have – despite political and economic
pressure – so far been able to remain in power, or have even been only insignificantly af
fected. This paper applies central social science approaches in order to analyze recent
velopments in the region – a majortask of theoretically oriented social sciences in the com
ing years. In addition to providing an overview of the existing literature on the Arab
Spring, the article examines the empirical results of political diversification in the Arab
world. A two-by-two matrix of political rule that differentiates according to the type of
rule and the degree of stability is presented and discussed. Although the analysis draws
heavily on rent theory, it also applies findings from transition theory and revolution theory
to illuminate the current political dynamics in the Middle East
Keywords:Arab Spring, Middle East,rent theory,revolution theory, transition theory
democratization, authoritarianism, political and economic liberalization
democratization, authoritarianism, political and economic liberalization
democratization, authoritarianism, political and economic liberalization
تعريف بالمؤلفين
الدكتور Prof. Dr. Martin Beck
holds a chair of contemporary middle east studies at the University of Southern Denmark
in Odense. From 2004 to 2012 he was a seniorresearch fellow at the GIGA Institute of Mid‐
dle East Studies in Hamburg, where he is now an associate research fellow. He has pub‐
lished extensively on Middle Eastern affairs and has taught, researched, and worked as a
political advisor in Germany (Tübingen, Hamburg and Bremen), the Middle East (Pales‐
tine, Jordan, Lebanon and Iraq), and the US (Denver, Colorado).
د. الماجستير Simone Hüser, M.A.
has been a research fellow and project officer at the Konrad‐Adenauer‐Stiftung in Amman
since August 2011. She holds a B.A. in political science from the University of Bremen,
Germany and graduated with a master’s degree in international security from the Univer‐
sity of Kent, United Kingdom, in 2011.
محتوى الكتاب
Article Outline
1 Introduction - المقدمة
2 Explanations fortheArab Spring - تفسيرات الربيع العربي
3 Political Diversification of theArabWorld Caused by theArab Spring - الأحداث والتنوع السياسي التي أحدثها الربيع العربي
4. Conclusion - الخاتمة
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